Oct 162008

Hurricane Omar has been an interesting storm and shows how quickly these storms can change.  It looked pretty good on satellite yesterday with deep convection.  Early this morning its intensity peaked at almost category four.  I really would’ve never expected that.  They plane this morning reported hail and couldn’t get into the entire storm due to extreme turbulence.  The National Hurricane Center estimated the storm peaked at category 4 status.

Things change and now the storm is not down to 85 miles per hour with the convection pretty much gone from the center of the storm. and the center is exposed on visible satellite pictures  It’s amazing how  quickly things can change.  This weakening has pretty much happened in just an eight hour time period.

Sep 152008

Hurricane Ike which was only a category 2 storm made landfall in Texas and moved  north through the Ohio valley yesterday proves that the rating doesn’t tell the whole story.  They’re saying it caused 30 billion dollars n damage and has caused at least 30 fatalities.

From what I’ve read it brought  in a  pretty high storm surge over a large area.  What really made this storm was the size of it I think.  Instead of getting stronger winds it expanded in size after hitting Cuba and looked like at one point it was affecting almost the entire Gulf of Mexico

Even after landfall it’s fast speed and taking a while to wind down brought strong winds all the way into the Great lakes states as it merged with a cold front.  It was an amazing storm to watch.

I think a lesson to learn from this storm is that it’s probably not a good idea to build on barrier islands but we’ll never learn that.  I really would never want to have my permanent house on one of these types of islands.

Sep 112008

Hurricane Ike has maximum sustained winds near 100 miles per hour right now but the real story is it’s size.  It’s a big storm with hurricane force winds extending up to 115 miles from the center.   Tropical storm force winds extend up to 255 miles from the center.

The minimum pressure (945 millibars) is borderline low enough to support a category 4 storm but I imagine the size of the whole storm is keeping the gradient from being tight enough to cause the winds.

Another interesting storm for this year.

Sep 052008

Tropical storm Hanna is approaching the East coast of the United states now with maximum sustained winds near 70 mph.  It seems like there is a lot more convection today than there was yesterday but still not around the center.  The minimum pressure is 980 millibars which seems a bit low to not be a hurricane but that depends on other factors too.

It will make landfall in the Carolinas and move up the east coast and turn northeast.  Hopefully some time in my life time I will have the opportunity to experience a tropical storm or hurricane from the coast.

It would be really fun to be on the outer banks this weekend.  I am really hoping we don’t get too much rain here though.  I want to do other things this weekend.  On the plus side we do need the rain and the storm will be moving pretty fast.

Hurricane Ike is still going strong although it has weakened somewhat.  It’s still a category three storm and looks like it may strengthen a bit.  The track appears to want to brush south Florida but that’s still five days from now.

Tropical storm Josephine has really weakened and there doesn’t seem to be much convection left that that storm.  Josephine is forecast to weaken and turn towards the northwest over the next few days.

Sep 042008

The tropics in the Atlantic basin are still active but it is near the peak of the season.  At this point there are two tropical storms and a major hurricane.

Tropical storm Hanna is the closest to affecting land and should move on shore in the Carolinas and move up the coast.  It really doesn’t look that well organized right now as it’s being influenced by sheer.  Hopefully it stays  further east and doesn’t give us much rain.  Although it’s not that impressive it should be fun to watch it make landfall.

Further out in the Atlantic is tropical storm Josephine.  This one also doesn’t look that great either and really isn’t forecast to have much of a change in strength.  It’s so far east I would guess it’ll never reach the east coast.

The really interesting storm is hurricane Ike.  This storm has rapidly deepened. from a tropical storm yesterday morning to a Hurricane this morning with maximum winds of 145 mph and minimum pressure of 935 millibars.  This one will be really interesting when it gets close enough for the recon planes to fly into it.  I can’t wait to see what the really find.  it just looks awesome on satellite images right now.  This storm is a great example of what makes weather so interesting to me.

Aug 302008

Hurricane Gustav has rapidly strengthened over nigh and now has maximum sustained winds of 120 miles per hour.    It also appears to have grown in size and is now a large storm.  It looks pretty good this morning.

It should cross Cuba which  will hopefully weaken the storm quite a bit.  Gustav should then make landfall in Louisiana but being such a large storm the effects will be pretty widespread.  Will definitely be a fun weekend to watch  it.

Aug 292008

The tropics sure got active now..  In the Caribbean Sea there is tropical storm  Gustav.  It made another landfall today on Jamaica.  It doesn’t really look that   impressive but is forecast to go between Cuba and the Yucatan Peninsula and strengthen  over the warm water.  We’ll see how it holds together.  It seems to like land so far.

We also have Tropical storm Hanna north east of the Leeward Islands.  Again it doesn’t look all that impressive but does seem to have a burst of colder cloud tops now meaning that it has better convection.  It’ll be a little while before this one effects any land masses.

It would be kind of interesting to see these two storms strong enough and close enough together to have the fujiwhara effect.  At the same time they could cause damage and cost people there lives so I don’t really want to see that happen.

There is also an area of convection off of Mexico that they are keeping an eye on.

Aug 262008

The tropical depression I mentioned yesterday has become hurricane Gustav.  That was fast.    Right now it is forecast to stay along the southern edge of Cuba which will keep the rain away from the southeast US.  It is forecast to become a strong hurricane and move into the gulf of Mexico.  I guess that will bring oil prices up.  We’ll see what happens.

Sep 042007

Dangerous Hurricane Felix is about to make landfall in northeastern Nicaragua. After weakening some on Monday it’s strengthened over night and still is now. It is back up to category 5 levels again with 160 mile per hour winds. It doesn’t seem like the area is very populated so that’s a good thing.

This is the second hurricane in the Atlantic basin to make landfall as a category five storm this year. I don’t think that’s happened in the past.

It’s been an exciting storm to track. Felix has been full of surprises.


Sep 032007

It’s a little late but still I thought it was interesting.

We have our second Atlantic Hurricane of the season this year. Felix became a hurricane and at the 2 AM advisory on Sunday had 80 mph winds. The 10 PM advisory yesterday said 165 mph winds and the.

Even more interesting was the fact that the recon plane aborted it’s mission due to extreme turbulence in the storm and graupel and lightning in all quadrants of the eye wall.

This tropical season has only had two hurricanes but both of them made it to category five status. wow..